
I will go way out on a limb here and assume everyone is aware that Barack Obama is now the President-elect. Regardless of your political leanings — left, right, centrist, or could-give-a-crap — the simple fact is that come Jan 20, 2009 at high noon, Obama will be in the White House and he’ll have lots of friends in the House and Senate.
What he thinks, and does, with regard to housing and the economy will be important.
As a real estate broker, obviously I have a vested interest in President-elect Obama’s plans for the housing market. I would think anyone else that falls under the categories of home owner, prospective home owner, home seller or renter would also have such interest. If I’m not mistaken, that is pretty much everyone.
I took a little time this morning to cobble together some of what Obama has said are his plans to address the “housing crisis”. Of course plans change and morph, and they probably should be adaptable. As of now though, here’s where the incoming administration stands, best I can tell. . .
From the BarackObama.com issues page on the economy:
Protect Homeownership and Crack Down on Mortgage Fraud
Obama and Biden will crack down on fraudulent brokers and lenders. They will also make sure homebuyers have honest and complete information about their mortgage options, and they will give a tax credit to all middle-class homeowners.
- Create a Universal Mortgage Credit: Obama and Biden will create a 10 percent universal mortgage credit to provide homeowners who do not itemize tax relief. This credit will provide an average of $500 to 10 million homeowners, the majority of whom earn less than $50,000 per year.
- Ensure More Accountability in the Subprime Mortgage Industry: Obama has been closely monitoring the subprime mortgage situation for years, and introduced comprehensive legislation over a year ago to fight mortgage fraud and protect consumers against abusive lending practices. Obama’s STOP FRAUD Act provides the first federal definition of mortgage fraud, increases funding for federal and state law enforcement programs, creates new criminal penalties for mortgage professionals found guilty of fraud, and requires industry insiders to report suspicious activity.
- Mandate Accurate Loan Disclosure: Obama and Biden will create a Homeowner Obligation Made Explicit (HOME) score, which will provide potential borrowers with a simplified, standardized borrower metric (similar to APR) for home mortgages. The HOME score will allow individuals to easily compare various mortgage products and understand the full cost of the loan.
- Close Bankruptcy Loophole for Mortgage Companies: Obama and Biden will work to eliminate the provision that prevents bankruptcy courts from modifying an individual’s mortgage payments. They believe that the subprime mortgage industry, which has engaged in dangerous and sometimes unscrupulous business practices, should not be shielded by outdated federal law.
From an interview with the National Association of Realtors (NAR) September 2008:
Q: What’s the most important action the federal government can take to ease the mortgage crisis and prevent a recurrence?
Sen. Barack Obama: For the short term, the housing relief legislation [signed by Pres. George W. Bush July 30] authorizing the FHA to refinance the mortgages of struggling homeowners is the right approach. I’ve also called for the creation of a $10 billion foreclosure prevention fund that works in tandem with state, local, and community nonprofit efforts to help households facing foreclosure renegotiate with lenders or put their homes on the market. We also need to expand the mortgage revenue bond program to give state housing agencies $10 billion in new resources to help struggling homeowners. For the long term, the Stop Fraud Act that I introduced two years ago would create criminal penalties for mortgage professionals found guilty of fraud and increase funding for federal and state enforcement of antifraud programs. I also want to see a simplified, standardized metric for calculating the costs of a home mortgage, similar to the annual percentage rate used by banks to identify the effective interest rate a borrower ends up paying on a loan.
Q: Even though prices have been easing for the last two years, housing affordability remains a challenge for many people. What can the federal government do to improve this situation?
Sen. Obama: I’ve proposed a universal mortgage interest tax credit for families that aren’t benefiting from the mortgage interest deduction. They would get an average credit of $500 a year. And I worked to pass the bipartisan homeownership tax credit. That’s a strong incentive because it gives developers a credit to bridge the gap between the cost of building a house and a sale price that’s affordable to low- and moderate-income households.
From the Congressional Black Caucus Democratic Debate (Jan 21, 2008):
On Budget & Economy: Help the homeowners actually living in their homes
It is important to make sure that we’re not helping out the speculators, but instead are helping out the homeowners who are actually living in their homes, who have the capacity to make the payments if they’re not seeing a huge increase in their mortgage payments. But understand this, this is not new. We have a history in this country of preying on low-income peoples because they don’t have access to banks. The Community Reinvestment Act is oftentimes not enforced as it should be. We’ve got to open up bank branches. We’ve got to give people access to financing so that they’re not going to a payday loan operation. I two years ago introduced a provision that would eliminate predatory lending, something that I had already helped to get passed at the state level. We’ve got to give ordinary working people access to financing. Part of the reason that they are borrowing on their homes, they’re borrowing on credit cards, is that the banks and financial institutions have dominated policy in Washington.
Obama called for the Treasury to require financial institutions receiving help from the financial rescue package passed in October to put a 90-day moratorium on foreclosures for homeowners “acting in good faith.”
He has called for a change to the bankruptcy law that would let bankruptcy judges reduce mortgage principals for bankruptcy filers. Proponents say such a change would encourage lenders to modify more loans for troubled borrowers rather than risk the loan being rewritten by a judge. Opponents say the change could cause a rise in interest rates because mortgage investors would price in the risk of new loan terms.
Obama has also called for the creation of a fund to help state and local governments ward off foreclosures. And he wants to boost penalties and law enforcement to fight mortgage fraud.
He supported the government’s takeover of mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in September as a stop-gap measure. But he has called for reform of the agencies so that ultimately their public functions will be completely disentangled from their private ones.
More broadly, Obama has proposed giving a tax credit to homeowners who don’t itemize deductions and don’t get a tax break for the mortgage interest they pay.
Will these plans work? I don’t think we know. Are they the “right” or best plan? I don’t know that either. I’m not a fan of big government. There are some fundamental laws of economics that will lead to a correction of the mess we’re in. Doinking with those laws is a scary thought, but then again what’s happening in the US and global economies is pretty scary in and of itself. It may be time for the feds to step in and help. It may be past time. A leadership transition in the midst of a financial/economic crisis may be just what is needed to kick-start the economy, or it may hasten it’s decline.
I do know one thing — hang on tight, it’s going to be interesting. . .
Photo Credit: BohPhoto on Flickr
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“There are some fundamental laws of economics that will lead to a correction of the mess we’re in. ”
Right on Jay…
The irony of it all is that the crap that’s hitting the fan right now (’toxic’ mortgage backed securities) is what kept the economy rolling a few years ago…we’re blessed and cursed with short term memories.
Many people danced with the devil and now he’s hung them out to dry…
I think President Elect Obama’s plans are admirable and should soften the blow for many homeowners but the market will eventually, innately shake itself out…100% NINJA loans and the lenders who provided the pitchforks that everyone stuck themselves with are already gone…now its time to clean up the mess from one epic party with one epic hangover.
**JeffX´s last blog post..Political Fear and Loathing on Wall Street
Well stated, us usual, Jeff.
For those readers that don’t speak the acronyms of real estate, Jeff mentioned “NINJA loans” — No Income No Job or Assets. You know, the kind of loan that was handed out like Halloween candy to anyone that could fog a mirror.
Fogging of mirror not always a necessary req either
http://tinyurl.com/62fjj6
**JeffX´s last blog post..Political Fear and Loathing on Wall Street
Jay, I hear alot of talk about mortgages being reset to the current value of the property. I am dead set against such a measure. If they want to provide them a 50 or 60 year note at a new interest rate – fine. The cost of housing across the board is too high for the general population no matter how much they are required to save before they can buy a house. A car loan is now 7 years and when I was a new driver the standard loan on a car was for three years.
I think some of that is a pretty good start. Obviously, we will all be watching carefully
Thanks for putting this together Jay, I wasn’t aware that Obama had so many housing focused plans…it’s good to know.
I’m not sure if any of these things will work either, or if they’re the right thing to do, but I do think that if nothing is done, we will be in a worse place then we are now and I’d like to pass on that…On that note, these things could always make things worse or create a whole new round of problems.
Unfortunately (or fortunately), there’s no precedent for our current situation, and as you mentioned, things will be interesting. 12
Jay, that was an interesting read on what Obama will do on Housing. I also think that is a good start, but I think ultimately it will just take a lot of time to have to market correct itself.
Not to get too political (because we’re all ready to get over that phase of our life), my biggest objection to Obama’s stance on real estate was raising capital gains. It seems to me that investors are a big way out of this mess (basic capitalism), but if government punishes them by taking more than their fair share than they will take their money elsewhere.
I’ll be the first to admit that I’ll probably benefit from Obama’s
reignterm in office, but I worry how any of these plans will do anything to help people who are upside down in homes that have lost value and over the $200K priceline (since he seems to aim everything at the lower class) and burn down some of the inventory so that prices can stabilize…Your take Jay?**Daniel Bates´s last blog post..Pepper Plantation
Campaign promises can be a lot different than what actually happens once a candidate is in office. It will definitely be interesting to see what actually happens, and how quickly. On the downside, he’s entering into a very bad situation with economy instability and consumer confidence shaken. But, on the upside, he also has a lot of backers within in his own party in the House and Senate that should help propel whatever solutions they have to offer through the hoops and loops fairly quickly. Realistically, how long will all of this take before things get better is on a lot persons minds. Hopefully, it will be on the scale of months, rather than years.
**Jennifer´s last blog post..Louisville First Time Home Buyers $7500 Tax Credit
I have to agree with Dave, I think the housing market ultimately is going to need to correct itself.
**John´s last blog post..Baltimore Real Estate
Jay – I too am not a big fan of government(s) messing with free market systems. As we call know this ultimately distorts the markets. Given that, these are anything but normal times. The world has never before seen a truly “global recession” the likes of which we’re now experiencing. I’d like to think that some sort of rational will return to the market by the time the President Elect takes office, but that remains to be seen.
I think it’s interesting those who demand Obama “right the ship in short order” or be flogged are the same ones who haven’t been calling for the collective carcass’ of those WHO GOT US INTO THIS MESS.
Unseemly as it reads, there was government focused economic housing manipulation going on…and out and out THIEVERY for those who unduly received golden parachutes. For those who want less government, ya — I want to win the lottery too but I’ll probably have to start playing first.
To this contributor’s eyes – a new game plan is necessary, and will it help all or even the majority? Who knows. We collectively DO know the market needs a nudge and it needs to remain free.
For all of us armchair QB’s, I’d like to see more offerings of what to do, vs. what I’m reading to be the cringe and wait contributions. As brokers and agents you people need to get creative, and not just react to the market.
Awake and wondering … ty for your space in the ether.
Jay-
This is a wonderful post and a great compilation of what Barack Obama has stated on changes to our industry. This is the most comprehensive summary I have seen on the topic and liked a lot of what I see that he and Biden proposed to do. I will probably be back to this post to review and gel more on it and possibly talk to it in my own blog. Again, thanks. I enjoyed the post.
Things certainly will be interesting in the coming months, even before Obama takes office in Jan! Let us hope that the “changing of the guards” will kick start the economy-I’m keeping my fingers crossed that his plans work!
I think that I tend to agree with most of the comments here and it will ultimately be the free market that will determine our economy’s fate, I just hope our government doesn’t keep contributing to the weakening of our dollar, that is what I am really concerned about.
**Dan´s last blog post..Seminole Heights Home For Rent
I am so glad and happy that Obama won!
It will be interesting not only to watch what he does but be impacted by it. Seeing how the FHA HOPE For Homeowners program looks like an all around flop, maybe the new administration will continue with the FHA Secure, which we are having a lot of success with here in Arizona.
**Paul Dunn´s last blog post..FHA Short Refinance FAQs – Hope for homeowners Arizona
I have high hopes that Mr. Obama will lead us out of the mess we are in. I think his plans sound reasonable.
**Jerry´s last blog post..If you didn’t vote, then you shouldn’t complain
Here in Germany, just as the Americans are, we are waiting to see what Obama does, and is capable of doing come January 20th. Especially with the economic status (affects us here too), I am sure that the housing market is also taking a big hit. So far it seems like he is heading in the right direction, but I really hope he can walk the walk so to speak as well.
. . . I like that picture by the way . . .
**Olaf´s last blog post..Shrek 3 – Der Dritte jetzt endlich auch auf Blu-ray Disc
I am sort of pinching myself that American’s could, for once, do something so radically different. It’s amazing, and a testament to the young vote, and the voter turnout.
On the flip-side, I am preparing myself for the fact that Obama, or any other brand-new president, may take months, if not years to start to make any difference. He has some big challenges ahead.
At the minimum, he is a signal to the world that America is ready for change. Great post!
**David´s last blog post..Kamik Boots Fall 2008
Well with the new $15,000 tax credit approved by Obama we will hopefully start to see some people moving back in to the housing market
Thanks for the most comprehensive summary of Mr O’s views on housing and financial markets. It’s interesting to see any domino effects here in UK of what’s happenning accross the ocean. But don’t they say that the road to hell is paved with good intentions? Hope they are wrong and global economy will come out stronger of the mess it’s in at the moment.
I have to agree with your view. it seem politicians views are changing weekly with all the new data